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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $268,878 50 traders

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Nathalie Arthaud89%
Marine Le Pen85%
Édouard Philippe84%
$268,878 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

46
Chance
Marine Le Pen
85% ▲ 1
Jordan Bardella
15%
Éric Zemmour
62% ▲ 10
Édouard Philippe
84%
David Lisnard
59% ▼ 2
Xavier Bertrand
5%
Laurent Wauquiez
3%
François Ruffin
30%
Gabriel Attal
36% ▼ 1
Bruno Retailleau
75%
François Hollande
31% ▼ 1
Raphaël Glucksmann
59% ▲ 2
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
95%
Marine Tondelier
35% ▲ 2
Fabien Roussel
84%
Olivier Faure
13% ▲ 4
Dominique de Villepin
29% ▼ 9
Ségolène Royal
7%
François Asselineau
14% ▲ 1
Clémentine Autain
4%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
58% ▲ 1
Michel Barnier
2%
Valérie Pécresse
2%
François Bayrou
7% ▲ 1
Élisabeth Borne
1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%
Jean Castex
5%
Gérald Darmanin
6%
Carole Delga
4%
Bernard Cazeneuve
13%
Manuel Bompard
9%
Mathilde Panot
2% ▼ 2
Sarah Knafo
46% ▼ 2
Sébastien Lecornu
9% ▼ 1
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
6%
Nathalie Arthaud
89% ▼ 1
Delphine Batho
3%
Jérôme Guedj
7%
Karim Bouamrane
5%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
7%
Manuel Valls
4%
Teddy Riner
4%
Matthieu Pigasse
10% ▼ 2
Juan Branco
11% ▼ 1
Philippe de Villiers
8%
Bally Bagayoko
3%

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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