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Chance
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
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Outcomes
16North Korea
3%
Cuba
4%
Saudi Arabia
14%
▲ 1
Lebanon
18%
Afghanistan
4%
Iraq
4%
Pakistan
6%
Syria
8%
Venezuela
14%
Tunisia
7%
Kuwait
8%
Qatar
4%
Indonesia
10%
Malaysia
4%
Bangladesh
4%
▼ 3
Iran
5%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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